Welcoem to posts!!
in the future - u will be able to do some more stuff here,,,!! like pat catgirl- i mean um yeah... for now u can only see others's posts :c
Thanks so much everybody for the abiding support!! The channel has reached 3K subs! The road is steep ahead but we will climb it steady!
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My next guest on The 4Sight Chats Video Podcast Series is none other than the great Henry Mintzberg.
As the profiles of the guests on the show continue to be at the very top, Iām doing something that I should have done much sooner: opening the floor for questions from the audience.
Indeed, these interviews are for me a great privilege. Iām truly blessed I get to talk with all these amazing people, and I donāt want to monopolize the conversation any further.
So, please if you have anything you want to ask Henry, write it in the comments. Iāll choose the best questions for the interview and mention your name! (Btw obviously Iām gonna ask Henry about foresight too, in case you are wondering!)
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The channel has recently reached 100K views! Thanks so much everybody for the great support!!
The channel so far has focused on organizational foresight, but I plan to pivot into broader themes and produce more content about organizational strategy, organizational behavior, philosophies and quotes from Asia, public intellectuals, political ideologies, and more (while maintaining a foresight focus!). So stay tuned for many more exciting videos about foresight and long term wisdom more broadly!
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Stoked to announce that the first research project of The Ideactio Centre for Foresight Research and Consulting (and probably the most unconventional yet exciting research project of my career) is now on its way, with 3 chapters out of 10 already written, and book proposal materials prepared.
The Dao of Foresight is an illustrated playbook and novel that uses edutainment and storytelling to teach foresight principles through the lens of Eastern Asian philosophies. It is coauthored by me (story), Elizabeth Lim (illustrations) and Nav Qirti (UX). We are currently looking for a publishing agent. As soon as we will have a publishing contract, we will make the first chapter of the book available online for free. If you have a lead on publishing agents/publishing houses, do reach out to us!
4 - 1
If you will be at the annual meeting of the Academy of Management this coming August in Seattle, you should join us at our professional development workshop "Harnessing the Power of Social Media" where a stellar faculty will be discussing the potential of social networks (Facebook, LinkedIn, YouTube, WhatsApp, Tik Tok, Slack, Instagram, Flipgrid) for management education.
I will provide my two cents as a scholar/YouTuber with the short talk as below, drawing from my experience with my YouTube channel.
Date and time: Saturday, August 6th, 12:30 pm to 2:30 pm
Location: Westin Seattle Hotel, Pike Room
Mode of attendance: In-person only
More info about the event: 2022.aom.org/meetings/virtual/XpB2xbQ2W9L65Wyi8
#management #foresight #futures #futuresthinking #socialmedia #youtube #AOM2022
3 - 0
For those who enjoyed my latest article about corporate foresight in Academy of Management Perspectives, you might find the controversial debate that followed it (in the same journal) equally fascinating.
Essentially, this author (which I am obscuring as I am after bad ideas, not people), has been skeptical about the effectiveness of corporate foresight practices. The author argues that corporate foresight "downplays" the future as something that can be controlled via "adequate" foresight techniques. Yet this betrays not only a misapprehension of the key argument of the original article "corporate foresight: a new frontier for strategy and management" - i.e., it is organizations that do not practice foresight that downplay the future!- but also of decades of futures (studies) and foresight literature, which has in fact grappled quite well with the fact that the future cannot be controlled. This author and I are, in fact, on the same side!
What's funny is that in a section on "organizations in late modernity", this author further corroborates the impossibility to control the future in current times. Futures studies, alas, derives from this postmodern realization, often times to an excessive extent as to deny/resist science (see my other articles on this coauthored with Thomas Chermack). Foresight practices have emerged FROM this realization. To this and other skeptics I say: read the literature (not just one book about scenario planning), and take part in a few foresight projects for yourself. Or better, practice foresight for your organization!
Feel free to read the debate and make up a mind on your own about this! The two articles are now available, along with the original article, at this link: mydigitalpublication.com/publ...
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Any organization has to balance (future) exploration and (present) exploitation to achieve sustained competitive advantage. This fine balance is "the edge of chaos". This is true of human psyche too, as acceptable mental discomfort makes us grow.
In time, organizations become complacent. They may forget exploration and overly focus on the present (trapped in the right circle). They may also overly focus on one particular projection of the future (trapped in the left circle). Foresight practice has the important role of bringing them back to the edge of chaos!
I knew this (conceptually), but I also "felt" it in an almost awakening-like fashion during my recent work on futures games. Indeed, there is no better way to "feel" at the edge of chaos than gaming the futures. Here, I draw once again from the Eastern perceptive approach to knowledge rather than the Western conceptual approach. The edge of chaos is first and foremost to be felt rather than understood.
Do you want to see this idea elaborated in more detail in article/video form? let me know in the comments!
Credits to the book by De Toni et al. (Corporate Foresight: Anticipating the Future) for the figure, which I have adapted. Changes in red.
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After having been in press for 27(!) months, my article on corporate foresight is finally published in Academy of Management Perspectives.
Despite the long press time, I do think this is still the most rigorous, comprehensive and most importantly parsimonious model of why foresight emerges in organizations, its components, and its outcomes.
The target audience of this article is researchers/professors/scholars in business schools who wish to undertake rigorous research on corporate foresight practices and processes, so it might sound mundane to foresight people. It all began with a conversation I had with Herman Aguinis about the necessity to speak "management scholars' language" in order to make foresight a legitimate field of research in business schools, which inspired me to lay out this conceptual article. Of course, this is just the start, and more empirical research has to follow.
You can access the article here: journals.aom.org/doi/10.5465/amp.2018.0178
or feel free to ask me for an e-copy if you don't have access to AOM.
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Awesome design fiction artifact. Peterson? Harris? Zizek? Phua. Read Malcolm, best public intellectual of all times. Happy weekend.
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Letās look at āDonāt Look Upā from a futures & foresight perspective.
The film is masterful. Funny. Probably the best dystopian film in a long time. At least since The Joker.
There is so much to say about this film. Positive and negative. A frustratingly truthful portrait of scientistsā impossibility to communicate with a wider audience due to the incentive misalignments of modernity. An untruthful postmodern satire about how capitalism and the right are too vapid to care about the future of humanity when what we need is the opposite: metamodern attempts to transcend and include capitalism AND its critiques.
But letās not dwell on these aspects, which have been discussed at length elsewhere (see excellent commentaries by Andrew Klavan, Michael Knowles, and the Ayn Rand Institute on YT).
What is most staggering, from a foresight standpoint, is that the film unwittingly fuels the opposite of what it wishes to encourage: the absence of imagination about a positive future. The whole plot is a disheartening gradual anticlimax to apocalypse. We have plenty of evidence to show that negative images of the futures stick deeper in our minds than positive images of the future, especially if you only show the former and hide the latter. There is also plenty of evidence to show that Hollywood doesnāt get it, as its science fiction almost exclusively shows negative images of the future (see my article on six scenario archetypes published in Futures, among others). We donāt need more negative images of the future, we need more positive ones.
Yes, incentive do not align. Films that do not talk about disasters do not sell as well. But this should not be a problem: one can add ādirectorās cut alternative endingsā after credits, one can pull off online games to immersively engage audiences in possible alternative plots, and more. Netflix has the wherewithal to do such things. After all they have done it for Black Mirror Bandersnatch, and Tadum was established for things like this. All it takes is a bit of hopeful imagination.
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Entertaining Wisdom